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Split ticket voting usa 2012
According to the Vital Stats data, ticket splitting peaked in the early 1970s with more than 44 percent of all congressional districts voting for one party for president and the other for Congress.
(note: Only 424 districts are included in the chart above because when Vital Stats went to the publisher, there were still 11 House districts with incomplete presidential results due to the after-effects of Hurricane Sandy.).
Thats a big change from even the 1970s and 1980s, when conservative Democratic senators still dominated Southern states stampeding toward the GOP in presidential elections, just as moderate Republican senators thrived in coastal states trending toward the Democrats.
Since the 1970s, the share of voters find junk files 1.51 who split their ticketssupporting one party for president and the other in Senate raceshas steadily declined.After all those contortions, many may still find their fate uncomfortably intertwined with his.Republicans happy hour seattle waterfront raised that argument with some success late in Bill Clintons 1996 victory, and party strategists hope it may resonate again with ordinarily Republican college-educated white voters who dislike both Trump and Hillary Clinton.In 2012, the percentage of ticket-splitting districts slipped into single digits for the first time in 92 years.Biden had, but many fewer (54 percent) knew that.At low levels of knowledge, this voter splits his or her ticket a third of the time (34 percent).Since then, as Abramowitz has calculated, the share of voters who back one party for president and the other for Senate has fallen relentlessly.
That's a remarkable erosion of split ticket voting considering that four year prior there were more than three times that number of split-ticket districts.
And that means less members with any electoral incentive to support - or even occasionally cooperate with - the President).
Romney at 62 percent but re-elected the Democrat Joe Manchin with 60 percent of the vote.
It is more likely that split-ticket voters are buffeted by idiosyncratic factors, like incumbency status, recent campaign advertising, and the tone and share of news coverage candidates receive.
Those with low levels of political knowledge are also less likely to have graduated from high school or have any kind of college experience compared with those with higher levels of information. Here's their chart on ticket-splitting in presidential elections, meaning voters in a congressional district who voted for one party for president and another party for House.It declined to 23 percent on average during the 1980s, 16 percent across Bill Clintons two races, 13 percent in 2008 and just 10 percent in 2012.I combined the questions to form a scale of general political knowledge or awareness.Among voters with the highest levels of political information, only 4 percent split their votes.This means that control of the Senate may rest in the hands of voters who know the least about politics.Those are precisely the voterswho could split their tickets this year, said the GOP pollster Whit Ayres.